October 21, 2015

Stephen Harper beat by Justin Trudeau

Conservatives across Canada are still stinging from the beating they got from "not ready" Justin Trudeau, leader of the Liberal Party of Canada and now Canada's 23rd Prime Minister.

So what now?

Well, for starters Trudeau is planning to deliberately run 3 deficits for 3 years in order to boost the Canadian economy.

This actually is the right course of action right now, as Canada has entered a "post oil collapse recession".

Stephen Harper (aka, Harper the Horrible, the former prime minister) basically put all of his eggs in the same basket - the Alberta oil industry. Harper basically bet everything on oil, the price of oil continuing to go up, and continued demand for oil from Canada's closest neighbour, the USA. However since then the price of oil has collapsed so instead Harper has been trying to ensure Canada's future by trying to build an oil pipeline to the USA, hoping that cheaper transportation of oil will keep his buddies in Alberta happy.

However the USA isn't buying the Keystone oil pipeline idea. Obama killed it with a veto, and Americans in general weren't happy about an ecological disaster either.

So Stephen Harper's plans for oil and riches were not going to pan out anyway.

Remember the old adage, don't put all your eggs in one basket? The idea is that you don't put all the eggs in one basket, because if you lose or drop the basket, you don't lose or break all the eggs. Well Stephen Harper did that. Invested everything in oil futures and then his dreams of oil pouring into the USA and money pouring into Canada were a complete waste.

Trudeau's plan calls for something much more stable and diversified. He is going to invest in manufacturing jobs. Building things. Airplanes. Cars. Roads. Construction. New homes. By focusing his attention on boosting the economy for Canada's beleaguered manufacturing sector he will be creating jobs in a sector that has been hard hit by NAFTA and trade deals with Asia, where products can be made for a fraction of the cost.

Boosting manufacturing in Canada means more Canadians buying products MADE IN CANADA and less reliance on products made overseas. It also means Canada will be shipping more products overseas and to the USA / Mexico, our NAFTA trading partners.

Manufacturing jobs are the backbone of a strong economy. Basing an economy on oil and mining sounds great if you are rich and own the oil fields or the gold mine, but it is manufacturing jobs that helps the middle class of Canada.

And that is really the reason why Trudeau won the election on Monday. The middle class of Canada has been neglected by Stephen Harper and are suffering. They voted Trudeau in because he is going to boost the economy for the benefit of the middle class - and impoverished Canadians will benefit too, many of them will make the jump from being "poor" to "middle class" as more manufacturing jobs are added to Canada's economy.

It isn't rocket science. It is economics 101. Stephen Harper evidently failed that course. See Stephen Harper has the worst economic record in 70 years.

Below, Trudeau tosses Stephen Harper in the trash.

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October 20, 2015

Canadian Liberals win landslide Majority

9 days ago, after studying the polls and population distribution of ridings, we predicted a Liberal majority government. 170 out of 338 seats were needed to form a majority. We predicted the Liberals would win a narrow majority with 172.

2015 Election Predictions
Liberals 172
Conservatives 101
NDP 60,
Bloc 4
Green 1

2015 Election Results
Liberals 184
Conservatives 99
NDP 44
Bloc 10
Green 1

So. We were right in our prediction of a Liberal majority, but like many predictions our's was slightly off on the final numbers. The Liberals ended up winning 12 more seats than our predictions - ending with a strong majority of 184.

The Conservatives won 2 less seats than our predictions, the NDP a whopping 16 seats less, and the Bloc 6 more seats than we thought possible. And the Green Party was spot on.

The accuracy of our prediction was due to the high polling numbers we saw in Atlantic Canada, Ontario and other parts of the country. We correctly predicted the Liberals would sweep Atlantic Canada - we didn't expect all 32 out of 32 seats for the Liberals, but hey, a sweep is a sweep. We also predicted the Liberals would do well in Ontario and Quebec, especially in Toronto and Montreal. Lastly we predicted the Liberals would win an assortment of extra seats in the Prairies and B.C., just enough to boost the party into a majority.

We were wrong however. The Liberals did way better than we predicted, sweeping whole regions and strong showings in other regions. Total % of the popular vote was 39.5% across the country.

In other news we have a message for the horrible former Prime Minister Stephen Harper (aka, Harper the Horrible). It goes like this:

Na na na na
Na na na na
Hey hey hey

October 11, 2015

Who would you vote for? Game of Thrones in Canada

Liberal Majority Government Predicted in Canada

Its official. Lilith News is predicting a Liberal Majority government in Canada in the upcoming election. We are basing this prediction on the direction polls are showing Canadians are planning to vote nationally and population distribution of those votes.

2015 Election Predictions
Liberals 172
Conservatives 101
NDP 60
Bloc 4
Green 1

The NDP and Liberals will duke it out in British Columbia and the Territories, where the Liberals will take about 60% of the seats.

The Conservatives grip on the Prairie Provinces is weakening, with the Liberals taking only a few seats in that region - but a larger number than recent previous elections.

In Ontario and the Atlantic Provinces the Liberals will get approx. 70% of the seats, most of what they need to form a government. This will guarantee they form at least a minority government, but will allow a majority if the current polling holds true.

The NDP will take 60% of the seats in Quebec, with the Liberals taking only 20%. The Bloc will take most of the remaining seats.

So. The question now is whether this poll-based prediction of population distribution of votes will hold to be accurate.

Note - This does not mean you should not vote in the upcoming election. Go out there and vote early. Get it done. Vote strategically if you really don't mind a NDP or Liberal MP, and really just want Stephen Harper gone.

Separate polls show that approx. 80% of Canadians hate Stephen Harper and want him booted from the PMO. (Not the exact words of the poll, but anyways.) Hence the "Anybody But Harper" slogans and similar concepts geared towards getting Canadians mobilized to get rid of this "corrupt dictator" who has been behind scandal after scandal for over 10 years.

It is time for him to go.

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